Monday, June 12, 2023

The Month That Was - May 2023

As I write this I am in fear of missing another month (update: turns out I'm just very late).  This one because I am mostly drawing a blank on topics.  This site is largely unsuccessful at attracting eyeballs because I don't write about bombastic stuff designed to inflame your neurosis.  Nor do I write anything that is too deeply personal or anything regarding other people in my life or work.  I also offer no special expertise or important information to share.  I would consider those the three things that attract an audience to web writing and I'm 0/3. The last one, I have nothing to offer.  The first two I am too old school to find appropriate.  I guess, for the time being the purpose of this site is just to keep me in the habit of writing, if even just in a small way.  I have previously sworn not to start another novel until I retire (not that far away). So in that sense, not having topics is a good challenge to keep the writing muscles in shape.  

If I really wanted to be an influential writer I would start a Substack. That's what anyone who is anyone is doing.  They provide a great format for long form writing, one which is very easy to monetize.  But I would be facing the same issue I am here.  What would I write about that would be of value (productive value or entertainment value) that wouldn't be one of these three things.  What I do have for a project is publishing all 5 of my books as substacks with nominal fees.  But again that's for some time in the future.


All this in an environment where the written word is being abandoned in favor of youtubes and podcasts. And the world's greatest twitter troll, Three Year Letterman, is releasing his new book, Not Some Random Clown, as a series of tweets.  


This world has moved beyond me.


[Sports] Things Are Getting Interesting

[Travel, Rant] Scurrying about Down South


[Sports, Baseball, Hockey] Thing Are Getting Interesting

I've been watching a fair amount of sports lately.  Baseball and Hockey.  Both have been wonderful this year.

My local hockey team, the Red Wings, is not in contention.  (Aside: Detroit sports teams except the Lions -- Red Wings, Tigers, Pistons --  tend to be competitive once every 15 or twenty years.  The Lions tend to compete once every century.)  So as a result I spent the playoffs wondering who should be my favorite.  There are a number of ways to assess it. The closest teams to southern headquarters in Savannah would either be the Tampa Bay Lightning or the Carolina Hurricanes. There are two other teams that are related to places I love, the Florida Panthers and the Las Vegas Golden Knights. One other thing I enjoy about all four of these back-up teams is the irony of warm weather hockey.  That must really rub Canadians raw.  


A couple other teams that I hold a certain irrational affection for are the Seattle Kraken, just because I love to roll my Rs and say Krrrrraken.  I also like the Arizona Coyotes because they are the ultimate underdogs.  They are not particularly good, have weak fan support, lost their arena and ended up having to play on a local college campus.  If they were good, they could be like the Indians in Major League or the Jamaican Bobsled Team, or dare I say it, The Mighty Ducks


We are coming up fast on the Stanley Cup Finals and it's Vegas versus Florida, so I'm cool with either winner.  Truly there is no sport more fast and exciting than playoff hockey.  Hockey's not-so-secret weapon is changing lines on the fly.  The result is that skaters get on the ice and go all out for ideally 90 seconds and they are replaced on the fly by fresh skaters.  In fitness terms, think of it as 90 seconds of anaerobic exercise.  To compare to football, suppose that instead of after a play everybody stopping and setting the ball and huddling up, a batch of fresh players came on and just kept going where the last play left off.  (Would that be rugby?).  The action is relentless and game stoppages are relatively few -- you can get 4 to 5 minutes without a break; emotions and momentum and fate can turn in an instant.


The average hockey game is 2 hours and 20 minutes.  The average baseball game is 2 hours and 38 minutes this year, down from about 3:10 the last few years.  So in other words about as long as the standard mildly bloated Hollywood movie.  


Truth be told, the pitch clock in baseball has made the games much more watchable.  It's interesting that they were modifying the rules surrounding the 20 second pitch clock almost up to the start of the season.  Technically the rule is that the pitcher must pitch within 15 seconds if there are no runners and 20 seconds if there are runners on.  There is also stress on the hitter in that he must be in the box and prepared with 8 seconds left on the clock.  There has been some getting used to, but mostly it's really moved the games along well.  


I'm less enamored with some of the other rule changes but I understand them.  There is now a limit on trips to the mound, a limit on the number of times a pitcher can throw to hold a runner, and a minimum number of batters a relief pitcher must face in some circumstances.  These remove an aspect of strategy, but perhaps open another, in the name of stopping baseball from becoming like football where you stop after every play and re-adjust to maximize your personnel. One I continue to not like is the forbidding of "the shift", overloading one side of the infield to account for batter tendencies.  This was outlawed in the name of "making the game more athletic", but I don't know.  It does seem to have improved overall batting average so maybe that was the subtle goal.  More offense = more eyeballs?  Maybe.


A couple of narratives have started to build in the season.  One is the Tampa Bay Rays getting off to an enormous start.  One is the comic occurrence where, as I write this, the entire AL East has better records than the entire AL Central (including the Tigers).   Last place in the AL East is better than first place in the Central.  Sheesh.  Another interesting thing to note is that the team with two of the best players in the game and stars of the World Classic from the summer -- Shohei Otani and Mike Trout -- continues to struggle to stay above .500.  Lastly, the Mets, who have reunited the last great Tigers pitching duo of Max Scherzer and Justin Verlander, are also treading water around .500.


In any event it looks like it's going to play out to be one of the more interesting and enjoyable baseball seasons in recent memory.  


Addendum:  The most fun reporting on baseball is generally coming from Jomboy Media on Youtube.  Simultaneously reverent and irreverent.  Both informative and entertaining.  Recommended.

[Travel, Rant] Scurrying About Down South

I flew down to Southern Headquarters this time.  Interestingly, for the stretch I was down there, Savannah was cooler than Michigan.  In fact, for this entire trip the weather was of the sort that makes you feel that the southern realm is a climate paradise.  My long history tells me that is quite rare in June, but the uninitiated could be fooled. (Michigan was sweltering and dry and I came back to a brown lawn thanks to my sprinklers not yet being turned on.  That's a separate rant.)

The first week was a week of chores.  Mostly gardening.  The SH (Southern Headquarters) features very productive fruit trees in the backyard. The SO (Significant Other) and SSD (Sorta Step Daughter) enhanced those with a spice garden and have since taken gardening to heart.  So the week was taken up with mulching and planting.  Not unpleasant work as chores go, although we left a big part of the project to the professionals.  And the yard is looking good.  The star of the show is a Sunflower that is well over 5 feet tall with lots of growing still to do.


The other chore, if I can call it that, was getting the SO's car situation sorted.  She was buying out her lease, which was set up in Texas prior to moving, so she had to make arrangements to buy the car from a dealer in Georgia and finally get her Georgia driver's license.  If you have any understanding of how the world works, you can already see where this is going.


Buying out the lease was annoying, a complete waste of time.  I fail to understand why a process like this, where a price is already decided on, where boilerplate papers need to be signed, can't be handled in 15 minute meeting, but requires a three hour stretch in the dealership most of which is sitting around making awkward talk with a salesman while waiting for the business manager to be free.  Throughout my life I have had essentially no positive experiences at an auto dealership. Every single one of them has been frustrating and wasteful. Virtually every other commercial experience has improved in my lifetime but not auto dealers.  Their service model is the worst.


Correction:  Their service model is the second worst.  The worst is the DMV.  AKA, Secretary of State in Michigan or Department of Driver Services in Georgia.  In Georgia you need to show your Birth Certificate, your Social Security Card, two examples of proof of residency (utility bills are good for this).  Furthermore, and this is especially hard on women who have been married, you must show proof of name change.  So the maiden name on your birth certificate must match with the name on your marriage certificate.  What's worse, the marriage certificate must be an official embossed copy.  


Problem:  The SO was married in California where they do not produce embossed copies.  And this is where you will find yourself in either 1984 or Idiocracy depending on your mood.  Situations like this are what two-bit bureaucrats live for.  They now have the power to tell you "no" and the excuse of "we're just following the rules".  What they really mean is "I don't have to care about your problem and there's nothing you can do about it and I'll still get paid." I would bet the DMV is responsible for more MAGA-drain-the-swamp-types than Fox News.


The truth is that they can help you.  They can make exceptions.  They can work to enforce the spirit of the law -- letting people they believe are low risk to be scamming them get licenses even if the documents don't perfectly conform -- rather than the letter.  They just don't want to. It is a true power rush for a basic bureaucrat to stiff arm you free of consequence. 


Luckily I have experience with this.  I knew from my days dealing with the Secretary of State that it all depends on who you happen to get at the window.  I also know that in small towns, rural areas, people are more inclined to be helpful and understanding since most of the folks who come in are their neighbors.  Our first attempt in Savannah produced a defiant stiff arm.  The situation was resolved by driving an hour away to an office in a much smaller, more accommodating place where we were in and out in about 15 minutes, further confirming the arbitrary nature of the whole mess.


Adding insult to injury is that there is a new initiative that most States are adhering to called Real ID.  When you have a Real ID license you have verified that you are who you are.  If you have a Real ID license in one state and want to get one in another state, you should just have to verify residency.  Your identity has already been verified.  The SO's Texas license has Real ID, but we were still put through the identity wringer.  Arrgh! 


Not that I was planning on it, but the whole escapade made me resolve that I won't ever be moving to Georgia. 


Where I will one day be moving is Florida.  And that was the second part of the trip.


Two stops in Florida, the first Sarasota.  


I have lost track of the fastest growing retirement communities in the country but I know the last time I checked The Villages, was on top and probably still is.  Second is Lakewood Ranch, a community -- or rather, a series of communities inland from the Sarasota/Bradenton area, just east of I-75.  Somewhat famously, Mick Jagger bought a home there for his in-laws.  This was Target One for this trip.  


Lakewood Ranch consists of 50 square miles with a dozen or so individual developments which have slightly varying features and costs.  Now bear in mind this was June, off season, and we are a good distance away from the beaches and the tourist areas, and it was still very active.  There are areas of commerce, including a nicely designed "Main Street" area which I assume is the center of any lifestyle activity.  There was a top notch farmers market going on the day we visited.


First, an aside about retirement communities.  These are obviously a big deal in Florida, and presumably,  a growing deal in most other places considering the aging population.  Some, but not all of these communities are called "55+", which does not mean you have to be over 55 to live there.  It means:


55+ communities do not allow anyone under the age of 18 to live there full-time, although visitors are allowed for specific numbers of weeks per year, as stated in the homeowner association documents.


People who are not yet 55 or older are also allowed to live in these communities provided their spouse is at least 55. Many communities require at least 80% of the housing to be occupied by 55+ owners or renters, with up to 20% only required to be 50 years or older.


When we visited the Villages last year I was surprised at the number of young people I saw.  In our new world where rent is so high, adult children continue to live at home and I sense that there are many such situations in these communities.


Aside to the aside: Folks look on this phenomenon as a kind of failure, but multi-generational homes have been the rule, not the exception, for the bulk of history.


Only a couple of the developments in Lakewood Ranch are 55+, although you wouldn't know it since the bulk of the people who can afford these homes have had to have long, productive lives to get there.


Developments like these, where for the most part you are buying new construction, are centered around a builder. Pulte, Toll Brothers, Lennar are some big names. These builders supply buyers with alternative floor plans of varying specs -- square feet, number of bedrooms/baths, garage space, etc. -- and varying ability to customize.  The houses themselves typically range from 500k for the most basic all the way up into the millions.  On top of that you have to pay what is called a lot premium -- an extra amount that depends on the desirability of the location, usually starting about 50k but into the 200k range for water view and golf course abutting lots.  So, yeah, this is a big purchase and generally reserved for what one hopes will be their final home.


Lakewood Ranch has some nice benefits.  First it is in the Sarasota/Bradenton area that I know well.  There are limitless things to do, there are beaches within an hour, there is a big-city level commerce and services available, including high-end medical facilities.  There is an airport in town used by most of the big airlines.  All in all, it would be a solid place to settle in and hope you don't get swamped in new developments.


There are, naturally, some downsides.  First, while there are nice clubhouses with pools and fitness facilities, I'm not sure they will be up to snuff for me.  I have pretty high-end requirements in those areas.  That means I may be looking into the surrounding area.  Second, I have seen how busy and chaotic it can be when the snowbirds flock in.  That could get frustrating. But otherwise this would be a cool spot.  Well, not in summer, but I have already resigned myself to finding ways to spend high summer back in Michigan.


Target number two was a couple hours north in Crystal River.  Crystal River is famous for being the place you can swim with the Manatees.  A thing I have done twice and highly recommend.  It's not swimming in a tank or pool with captive manatees.  You are swimming with them in their habit.  


All areas of the Florida coast have names.  Here is a map of them. Crystal River is part of The Nature Coast.  If any area of the Florida Coast can be considered to be undeveloped it's the Nature Coast.  How it was spared is interwoven with the story of I-75. Back in the 80's I-75 was being extended all the way through Florida (it starts in Northern Michigan).  Eventually it reached almost to Marco Island before hanging a sharp left and connecting with the Atlantic Coast via Alligator Alley.  This did two things.  It alleviated traffic on the former north-south corridor road, US-41 and also encouraged commercial development another 5-10 miles further inland.  Another interesting effect of this was to essentially freeze US-41 in the 80s.  With the bulk of the pass through traffic taking I-75 there has been very little new development on US-41.  All the old buildings and strip malls and motels still exist there in all their tedious-road-trip-in-the-family-station-wagon glory.  I-75 was indeed a blessing.  I am one who had to make this road trip on stop-and-go US-41 so I know that to be true.  But I digress.


Anyway, as I-75 grew southward it passed through Gainesville and at some point it was going to have to veer towards the gulf coast to relieve US-41 as planned, but drawing it away towards the center of the state was the 900 lb. gorilla of Orlando and The Mouse.  This made Crystal River an afterthought for snowbirds barreling down from the northern kingdoms.


The vibe in Crystal River and the surrounding areas is palably different from Sarasota/Bradenton.  To me it's more normal.  The traffic is not bad.  It's filled with two-lane roads with long distances between stop lights.  And there is only one really nice retirement community, but it's really really nice.  Although it's a smaller community, the homes are just as nice as Lakewood Ranch and a bit more customizable. It's also what is called a lifestyle community, like the Villages, where the recreation and social world revolves around the on site amenities.  There are restaurants and health clubs and, of course, golf courses and pickleball courts, all for residents only.  Even I was impressed with the gym, and that's not easy.


Crystal River is not a backwater. But the retail atmosphere is Publix/CVS/Target level.  And the good restaurants are few.  The growing (and, I think, affluent) city of Ocala is about a half hour away where choices are better.  Tampa is probably an hour and a half.  Orlando is probably two.  So there are citified choices if you really need them.


One concern with being away from the city centers is medical services, a thing that is likely to grow in importance as time passes.


At one point in the visit the SO turned to me and said, this is kind of like Dexter.  A major plus as I love my current home of Dexter, MI.  There is still time, but at least for now, I would say Crystal River is the frontrunner.


I have probably been talking on this site for at least 10 years about retirement planning.  It's getting closer and more real with each passing month.  Soon a decision will have to be made.  And money spent.  Lots of money.