Tuesday, February 07, 2023

The Month That Was - January 2023

For the 63rd time I increment the year count. The year count has come to mean pretty much nothing to me.  I am fast asleep by midnight on the 31st.  Frankly, so is everyone I know.  Or if they are not, they are mindlessly watching a ball drop on TV amidst a parade of crappy musical performances by people I've never heard of.  Yawn.  

I'm trying to think back on if I had any memorable New Year's Eves.  I recall one time when I was a freshman in college and a group got together over winter break for a bit of a party.  It was a happy bunch, and since we were at someone's house, rather than a bar or a dorm, everyone was fairly well behaved.  The year was rolling over into 1980 and I recall the frequently verbalized sentiment was that the '70s were awful, let's hope the '80s are better.  I think they were.  In my recollection, the '80s were vastly superior to the '70s.  For completeness, the 90s were on par with the '80s; everything since has been a homogenous blob of "just OK" with some bright spots here and there.


Strangely, other than that I have only a couple passing memories of specific New Year's Eves.  I recall taking a train trip with a long ago ex-girlfriend to Toronto one year and mostly being bored and annoyed. I recall one wherein I did a midnight 5k run through Ann Arbor with another long ago ex, ending up with drinks in a downtown bar that no longer exists.  Other than those, I can't identify a single specific NYE memory.


Good. Maybe that means I don't feel the need to wait for a demarcation to make a change or adjust my life.  Maybe I'm advanced enough to see things as a continuum -- an eternal on-going effort to improve and grow.  Maybe I'm just beyond all the silly shenanigans that surround it.


Or maybe I'm just a wet blanket. 


[Travel] Seaside Sojourn

[Rant] Something Less Than Human

[Cars] Not Quite Yet


[Travel] Seaside Sojourn

I was once again down in my Southern Command Center in Savannah from whence the S.O. and I made a weekend road trip down the Florida Atlantic Coast to Palm Beach, where one of her sons lives.

The travel itself was a cinch. Straight down I-95 from start to finish.  It being January and tourist season in FL I would have expected a lot more traffic than we got.  One (relatively) new benefit is the existence of Buc-ees, now in Florida.  Buc-ees was formerly a Texas-only asset, but in the past few years they have spread throughout the South.  You can think of Buc-ees as a sort of rest stop theme park.  Everything you would normally find at say a Pilot or a Loves is cranked to 11 at Buc-ees. The food is rest stop food, but better.  The jerky options are endless.  The assorted t-shirts and hats and knick-knacks are even more cheesy.  And most importantly, the bathrooms are huge and CLEAN.  It's really quite remarkable -- Disney levels of maintenance and service.  And, I suspect, quite profitable.  The one in Daytona Beach is packed from morning until night.  Most of my respectable friends would likely sneer at it, but I think it's quite an achievement, speaking as someone who has spent his fair share of time waiting in line to access a filthy, partially functional solo men's room in a gas station and hoping the sad looking burrito in the warmer isn't toxic.  God Bless Buc-ees.


In my view I divide Palm Beach into three distinct areas.  First is Palm Beach island proper.  This is what most people think of.  It's where Worth Avenue is and where The Donald's Mar-a-Lago is and where lifestyles of the rich and famous are a reality.  


Once on the Mainland, you are in West Palm Beach.  If Palm Beach is the front of the house, West Palm is the back of the house.  There are some gritty areas where the folks who staff the hotels and restaurants and resorts live, but it's not without charm.  There are a couple of very nice commercial areas in West Palm Beach.  There is City Place -- an upscale open air shopping and recreation mall.  Very cool spot.  They have a central lawn with live music, an AMC theater, even an outdoor Soul Cycle, in addition to an endless supply of restaurants and stores, including the national chains.  A few blocks north of that is Clematis Street -- more youthful and party oriented, the shops are funkier and bars louder.


The Third area is Singer Island, the island immediately north of Palm Beach proper, with the main town being Palm Beach Shores. It's a nice, homey spot.  Call it upper-middle class vs. the ultra-high end Palm Beach to the south.  Most everything is a short walk to the beach. It's a good compromise between Palm Beach and West Palm Beach. 


Accommodations-wise, West Palm is pretty standard Florida rates.  Moving to Palm Beach Shores you get a noticeable increase in prices due to proximity to the beach, but not outrageous.  On Palm Beach Island you get places like The Breakers for $2500 per night.  When I hit the lottery, it will be one of my first stops.


Though our tri[ was brief and family-visit oriented, we were able to steal away one day for a brief walk down the storied Worth Avenue. Yes purchases were made, although mine were confined to gelato, then a drive south on A1A among the luxury estates along the oceanfront to my favorite town on the Atlantic Coast, Delray Beach. 


Now, it had been a decade or so since I had been to Delray and let's just say an awful lot of people must have shared my opinion.  My memories of a quaint beach town were dashed.  It was crowded as everywhere else on the Coast. And yet, it retained its charm.  It's an easy walk down Atlantic Ave with its shops and restaurants, ending in a pavilion on the beach. What was a flagship Marriott hotel has been replaced and renovated by the Opal Grand Resort where you can grab a delightful drink and snack at the open air Drift bar.  Despite the changes, Delray remains my favorite spot on the Atlantic side.


But nothing during this trip changed my preference for my beloved Gulf Coast.  I can't honestly say the Gulf side is less busy.  I know traveling down I-95 (Atlantic) this trip was vastly easier and faster than a similar trip down I-75 (Gulf).  The Atlantic Coast has a few oases of sanity.  I'm told places like Port St. Lucie or Vero Beach are not yet insane, and perhaps that's true.  But I just don't think the ocean side has anything to compare to, oh, Boca Grande or Crystal River.  


There is just a level of intensity on the ocean that isn't there on the gulf. The suggestion has been made that it is because East Coasters settle on the ocean side and midwesterners settle on the gulf.  So be it.  I don't intend to buck that trend.


[Rant] Something Less Than Human

Someone who was my age now (62.5) at the time of my birth was born into a world where Queen Victoria was still ruling the Empire and a person could pretty much travel and live anywhere without justification or the approval of authority and, for the most part, pretend to be whomever he chose.  (See The World of Yesterday.)   Interestingly, that time would also see the first use of the word "computer" and the first organization dedicated to LGBT rights.  Plus ça change, plus c'est la même chose, eh?

To quote the above mentioned The World of Yesterday:


None of these young people believed their parents, the politicians or their teachers. Every state decree was read with distrust. The postwar generation [post-WW1] emancipated itself with a sudden, violent reaction...Anyone or anything not their own age was finished, out-of-date, done for...School councils...were set up, with young people keeping a sharp eye on the teachers and making their own changes to the curriculum, because children wanted to learn only what they liked. Girls had their hair cut in such short bobs that they could not be told from boys; young men shaved off their beards to look more like girls. Homosexuality and lesbianism were very much in fashion, not as a result of a young person's instinctive drives, but in protest against all the old traditional, legal and moral kinds of love.


A lesson I learned far too late in life is the people of the past were no different from us.  None of the motivating ideas of Wokeness that so entrance the youth are new.  They in fact, were born from the very people the movement looks upon as morally backwards and reprehensible.  For balance, none of the ideas of what has been called the New Right or the Dark Enlightenment (or whatever euphemism is being used today) is new.  At least, to their credit, they believe that is a feature, not a bug.  The nature of humanity is the same as it always was.  We delude ourselves that we are different out of hubris.


And yet, the past is a foreign country.  We can read of their habits and manners and be amused or appalled or confused.  To pick on a cliche example, slavery was broadly accepted as normal for most of the world's history.  (No, I'm not just referring to slavery in the Old South, which seems to be the only one anyone thinks of anymore.)  We can't understand how this could be.  How do we reconcile the fact that these humans were exactly like us, yet manifested behaviors we can't fathom?


I can only think that there are certain behavior patterns that are endemically human, perhaps encoded in our DNA or perhaps so foundational to our social beings that you can easily track them through time.  But they can ultimately manifest in behaviors that are almost 180 degrees opposed to each other.  For example, an innate sense of fairness can lead us to conflict whether it is applied to outcomes or opportunities.  An instinct for defiance can lead to embrace or repulsion.  A desire for security can lead us to conform or isolate.


What people mean when they describe a piece of literature as timeless is that the core themes emphasized are those behaviors that survive over time, as opposed to "ripped from the headlines" narratives. 


This is where I start yelling at clouds.  Feel free to bail.


In the current age, drama, in the form of TV and Movies and, to some extent, stage plays, gets created almost on a whim. There are so many productions that it's impossible to keep track.  How many streaming channels are producing original content.  Beyond that content from across the globe is readily available.  As recently as 20 years ago it was possible to have at least a decent enough grip on the market output to know whether something was worth watching or not and feel confident that you were able to keep up on most of the worthwhile releases.


No longer.  The quantity produced is too great now to even begin to survey a large portion of it.  And, as we know, when quantity goes up quality goes down.  The thing is, dramatizing timeless themes is hard.  It takes insight and consideration to even identify them and it takes talent, sweat, and toil to dramatize them.  The talent to do so does not increase anywhere near the rate the quantity of drama increases.  We're now producing so much output that we have reached far outside the talent pool for the needed labor.  


You see it every day. Most streaming services are on a kick now to remake, or reboot, or reimagine -- pick your euphemism -- previously successful works.  Almost all of them fail outright.  The successes are little more than average.  They consist of characters shouting their feelings and intentions at each other so you know what to think; they gender- or race-swap legacy characters and somehow believe that constitutes creativity; they write dialog at a third grade level; they work from formulas that they hope are low risk, but they are just plain low. Honestly, ChatGPT could probably do better.


This is a time where quality drama is so rare that not only is nearly impossible to find, the audience has been so numbed by the content from Disney or Amazon that they don't even realize how truly awful most of it is.  So desensitized to quality are viewers that, were they to watch some truly remarkable they would only see it in terms of what formula it fit.  Show them The Sopranos and they say it was a mob soap opera, instead of seeing it for the tour-de-force portrayal of our human capacity for self-delusion that it is.  


What do you do when you live in such an era? First, convince yourself it can't last forever. Quality never completely disappears, it just gets lost in the shuffle most of the time.  Treasure the good stuff you do find:  Better Call Saul, The Bear.  


Second, resort to the old and timeless.  It's hard to read old books when you've been conditioned (or reconditioned) to Twitter and Instagram, nevermind TikTok.  They are often written in rich, florid sentences that can take a minute to parse. The vocabulary is beyond you and you have to resort to context to understand.  The cultural references of their moment are unrecognizable.  But I have found wonders of similarities to today; I can relate to many of the characters.  Take for instance the common theme of men lost in young adulthood.  In This Side of Paradise (F. Scott Fitzgerald, 1920) we follow privileged young people as they hedonistically make their way through their college years.  Try watching The Graduate (1967) for a take on being adrift in early adulthood.  In The Wrecker (Robert Louis Stevenson, 1896) our lead is a young man who pursued his dream of being an artist against the wishes of his father -- I know many such 20-somethings today. And if you're concerned about the interaction of college an ethnic identity I humbly suggest Apple Pie (David Mazzotta, 1999). 


My pipe dream is that all young people read these and understand their struggles are nothing new. The fears and insecurity that underlie all their false confidence and righteousness are precisely what is expected of them. That thing many of them call depression is just the normal way they are supposed to feel at their age. That it will be a struggle, but they will find a way through it and the world won't end if they compromise or fail.  Basically, that they are OK and can chill out a bit and maybe lay off the Zoloft.


And that maybe everyone will realize that there is nothing special or apocalyptic going on.  That, as always, it is the best of times and the worst of times (another nugget of timeless wisdom from an old book). That they live in a world of endless noise; of tales told by idiots, full of sound and fury, signifying nothing (how could Shakespeare have known about our new cycle -- yes I know that's not exactly what MacBeth meant; work with me).  Then maybe we'd all chill out.  Maybe we could give more thought to our humanity instead of dwelling on our neurosis.  Maybe we could have real tolerance of each other instead of divisive social engineering.  Maybe we could see our own absurdities and laugh at them.  


Maybe there would be something worth watching on TV.


[Cars] Not Quite Yet

I continue to be in the market for a new car, but only softly.  I'm coming up on my standard ownership duration -- 9 years, 150k miles -- on the Acura, so I've put my ear to the ground in the auto market.

A lot of things haven't panned out as expected.  EVs really aren't there for me due to range concerns.  Many get in the 300-350 mile range, but where does that leave me on one of my semi-frequent sojourns to Savannah: crossing my fingers that I find a way to recharge along the way along with occupying myself during the interminable time it takes to do so.  I am very keen on the idea of a hybrid, though.


Another thing I had high hopes for were auto subscription services wherein you make arrangements for the use of a car at any given time -- all maintenance and insurance covered, you just pay for gas.  You can turn it in for a new model at will.  The folks who attempted this were on the luxury side and therefore stratospheric in price, but I had hoped someone would find a way to do this at scale and bring the price down into my range.  Nope. For now it seems unworkable.


So that leaves the operations in the auto market in roughly the same shape it was when I last bought a car.  Of course, there has been upheaval in supply chains and interest rates that have made a hash of things.  Many brands are suffering supply shortages of new vehicles, including Acrua and Lexus/Toyota and the Korean brands.  About the only new cars that are in healthy supply are Jeeps and Buicks.  I have known far too many people who have had nightmarish experiences with Jeeps/Chrysler/Stellantis/Etc. to involve myself with any of those cars.


I have a soft spot for Buicks.  My erstwhile houseguest had two Encores, both were stellar.  Were I to go the Buick route I would want the larger Enclave, but I don't really want to.  As I may have mentioned before, I kind of want a minivan.  Specifically the Toyota Sienna that comes with a hybrid engine.  See, to me, an SUV is just an impractical minivan.  It is better designed to haul stuff and people than an SUV, it just lacks the SUVs "rugged character", which is kind of laughable when you think about it. The minivan can even come with 4WD. A true SUV would work better if you needed to go off road now and then, although let's face it, beyond the added ground clearance, most SUVs aren't intended for anything worse than a gravel driveway.  If you need to tow or haul real loads of stuff, you want a pickup. Modern full-size pickups, for their part, can do just about anything, from carry you and your passengers in Rolls Royce comfort to tow an enormous Airstream.  But full-size pickups are too much car for me.  They are thirsty and awkward to park because of their bulk.  Still, by any measure, an F-150 crew cab with a hybrid twin-turbo V6 and 400 HP is an astonishing feat of engineering.


As for minivans, my choice would be a Toyota Sienna for the hybrid engine. I doubt you will find a new one and if you do, the mark-up will likely blow your mind. Honda (Odyssey) and Kia (Carnival) both produce highly regarded minivans.  Good luck finding those either.  Chrysler makes a minivan that I have actually driven as a rental.  It was fine enough to drive and it is probably available, but as I mentioned, no Stellantis products for me.


In the used car market prices have shot up again, for reasons I don't understand.  There were record high prices during the pandemic, then when things started to open up, prices plunged, but suddenly they have shot back up -- wholesale prices at least, which suggests retail prices will follow in a few weeks.  It's hard to figure out the dynamics of this.  I suppose there was some reaction to the end of the pandemic, then when people realized it was still going to be a while until they could walk back into a dealer and buy off the lot, they rushed back to used cars.  Maybe? Who knows?


The key for me is to figure out what that means for my car purchase future.  What it means is that I will be paying top dollar, maybe even close to new prices for a one or two year old Toyota Sienna.  That makes me bristle.  My hope is that the fact that auto loan rates have shot up might slow demand and the record level of repossessions might increase supply such that in a few months prices come back down.  Or even better, supply chains finally recover and I can walk into the local Toyota dealer and see what's in stock.


Bottom line, my ear is still to the ground, but the ground is telling me to wait.